To engage in solo mining is to accept a challenge of pure probability. In the early days of the network, a standard home computer could solve a block every few days. Today, as we enter the era of the Zettahash (ZH/s), the network has become a global computational titan. Here is the objective breakdown of how a single 1.2 TH/s Bitaxe Gamma fits into that equation.

The Variables

As of early 2026, the Bitcoin network hashrate fluctuates around 1,000 Exahashes (1 ZH/s). To find your odds, we must compare your local hashrate to the global total. While the numbers seem daunting, the decentralized nature of the "lottery" ensures that every hash is a valid ticket.

Calculating the Probability

Statistically, a miner controlling 1.2 TH/s has a roughly 1-in-833 million chance of solving any given block. When you factor in the 144 blocks mined per day, your annual probability of hitting a block reward (currently 3.125 BTC) is approximately 0.006%.

While this sounds low, it is significantly higher than the odds of winning a national Powerball jackpot. Furthermore, unlike a paper lottery ticket that expires, your Bitaxe Gamma is a perpetual ticket. As long as it is powered on and connected to a solo-mining pool like Solo.CK, it is checking billions of "combinations" every second of every day.

Why Solo Mine at All?

If the odds are so lean, why do thousands of "Plebs" keep their units running? For most, it is a combination of educational value and network support. By running a Bitaxe Gamma, you are helping to decentralize the hashpower of the network. You are not just a spectator; you are a peer-to-peer participant in the most secure monetary system in human history.